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The year's peculiar transfer market behavior meant
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Nations to Watch means that any player with a Ones to FUT 23 Coins Watch card whose country is involved in the World Cup will receive a single in-form upgrade in the event that their team wins a game during the tournament. The Erlings are having a difficult time on this front, it appears, due to Norway's non-participation. ('Tough times for Erling' is not something we expect to write on many other occasions this year/decade/millennium.)

Plus, Nations to Watch players don't need to be picked for their national team in order to get the upgrade. So in the event that Gabriel Jesus somehow doesn't make the Brazilian squad and his countrymen win victory in Qatar the Arsenal player will still be eligible for a +1.

In the end, it's worth mentioning this: Ones to Watch players do not get upgrades based on other promotional cards. In other words, if Tyler Adams gets some sort of wild 90+ card in April in the form of a new promotion called Factsmashers or something else, his OTW will not be upgraded as a result. (Sorry Tyler. If this makes you feel any better, you're virtually everyone's pre-order OTW Pack.)

The year's peculiar transfer market behavior meant it was sometimes practical and affordable to add good promo players to one's team, even within a couple of days after they came out. That may yet prove to be true in FIFA 23, but for this moment, the most popular Ones to Watch players are going to cost you a huge premium. Given that they have currently been given no updates at all so it's difficult to justify spending any money on them.

At the lower end of the scale, Nico Schlotterbeck from Borussia Dortmund is currently averaging buying FIFA 23 Coins 14k dollars, which is only 4k more than the discard price. He's a decent starter centre-back, although he doesn't possess the well-known 'long running style'. despite Dortmund's lack of form, it's possible to see him securing the Wins to Watch upgrade in the next few weeks.
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